Gakpo continues to carry the Dutch attack - Photo: REUTERS
Ahead of Euro 2024, the Netherlands are among the favorites to win the tournament with a very high squad value. According to Transfermarkt, the total value of the players wearing orange shirts at Euro 2024 is 815 million euros. This figure is 9 times higher than the value of the Romanian team - only 92 million euros.
But after the group stage ended, Romania sat comfortably at the top of Group E. The Netherlands, on the other hand, only advanced thanks to the spot reserved for third-place teams with good results.
The loss of two key midfielders, Frenkie De Jong and Koopmeiners, at the last minute seriously weakened the Netherlands' strength. Coach Koeman's students could not dominate their opponents in all three group stage matches.
Even the Netherlands' famously solid defense, which boasts some of the world's best centre-backs, has failed to maintain its form. Both Van Dijk and De Vrij are underperforming at Euro 2024.
Meanwhile, Romania was the most effective attacking team in the group stage. They scored 4 goals despite not having any outstanding strikers.
But according to bookmakers, the Netherlands is still overwhelmingly strong in this match. Bookmakers offer the Netherlands a handicap of 1 1/4 (1.25) goals, with an over/under bet of 2.5 goals.
This is a very high handicap compared to the "firepower" of the Netherlands. They have a striker in high form, Gakpo, but his teammates on the attack line, Depay and Simons, both played poorly.
Expected lineup of the two teams - Graphics: AN BINH
According to Opta data, the probability of the Netherlands winning in 90 minutes is up to 62.8%. The corresponding figure for Romania is only 15.3%.
Sportsmole's data suggests the gap between the two teams is not that large. The Netherlands have a 46.5% chance of winning after 90 minutes, while Romania have a 26.6% chance.
In the last 4 matches, the Netherlands won all and scored 13 goals, conceding only 1. But in this confrontation, Romania will likely defend more firmly.
According to Sportsmole, the possibility of the Netherlands scoring more than 1 goal in this match is only 41%. The most likely score is a 1-0 win for the Netherlands (12.8%), followed by a 1-1 draw (12.7%).
Expert's choice: choose Romania to receive 1 1/4 goals, the match will have 2 goals or less.
Prediction: Netherlands win 1-0.
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Source: https://tuoitre.vn/du-doan-ti-so-ha-lan-thang-romania-tran-dau-it-ban-thang-20240701180719489.htm
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