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Gold price forecast after week of price increase

(Dan Tri) - World gold prices increased by 2% this week. Experts believe that gold will fluctuate sideways or fluctuate until there is a strong enough factor to break the current price range.

Báo Dân tríBáo Dân trí06/07/2025

At the end of the trading week from June 30 to July 5, the price of SJC gold bars was listed by large enterprises at 118.9-120.9 million VND/tael (buy - sell). The price of gold bars opened the week at 117.2-119.2 million VND/tael (buy - sell) and the highest price recorded was 119.3-121.3 million VND/tael (buy - sell).

Thus, after a week of trading, although the price could not be kept at the peak, both buying and selling prices increased by 1.7 million VND.

The price of plain round rings is listed at 114.3-116.8 million VND/tael (buy - sell), down 200,000 VND each way before closing the week.

In the international market, the price of gold closed the week at $3,335/ounce. The world's precious metal started the week at $3,271/ounce and at one point dropped below $3,250 - the lowest of the week. However, the price then reversed and started to increase steadily, before turning down slightly and closing the week at the current level due to technical selling pressure and the impact of the US non -farm payrolls report.

However, gold prices still recorded a 2% increase during the week.

Dự báo giá vàng sau tuần tăng giá - 1

World gold prices recorded a 2% increase this week (Photo: Tien Tuan).

Adam Button, head of currency strategy at Forexlive.com, said the US dollar’s performance last week was the main factor explaining gold’s ups and downs last week. The greenback’s slight rise after the jobs report but then its rapid reversal suggests that the selling bias has been dominant since the start of the year. “As the US dollar continues to weaken, gold will continue to benefit,” he said.

Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management, said the US Federal Reserve is caught between pressure to cut interest rates and rising inflation risks. He also stressed that the recent stability in gold prices is mainly due to the weakness of the US dollar.

Adrian Day, chairman of Adrian Day Asset Management, is more cautious, saying that a number of negative factors could come together to overshadow gold’s performance: the possibility of a Fed rate cut as early as this month, new tariff agreements and a slowdown in central bank purchases, especially from China. However, he stressed that any correction in gold would be mild and short-lived.

Marc Chandler, an expert from Bannockburn Global Forex, also maintains a cautious view. Forecasting the world gold price next week, he said that the recovery of gold is fragile. According to him, the price could return to the $ 3,250 / ounce area or lower. "Strong employment data and rising interest rates are putting a lot of pressure on gold," he said.

Sharing this view, Sean Lusk, co-director of trade defense at Walsh Trading, questioned the appropriateness of the Fed's rate cut at this time.

According to experts, interest rate cuts are usually a sign of economic trouble. But right now, stocks are still at their peak and the economy is doing well. According to him, if the Fed cuts too soon, the risk of inflation returning is not to be underestimated.

However, Sean Lusk also believes that in the long term, gold still has the potential to increase in price. “If there is a correction, it will only be temporary. We are still in a big bull cycle,” he said.

Jim Wyckoff, an expert at Kitco, said that gold will continue to fluctuate sideways or fluctuate until there is a strong enough factor to break the current price range.

Source: https://dantri.com.vn/kinh-doanh/du-bao-gia-vang-sau-tuan-tang-gia-20250706020136208.htm


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