After the first four rounds of the Premier League, the Opta statistics company's computer simultaneously lowered Man Utd's odds of winning the championship and entering the top 4.
Before the 2023-24 season began, Opta's AI computer claimed that Man Utd had a 63.2% chance of finishing in the Premier League's top four. However, after just four games, the re-evaluation results showed that the "Red Devils" only had a 28.42% chance, down nearly 35%. Before the season, Man Utd also had a 1.7% chance of winning the title. But according to current figures, they only have a 0.09% chance.
Man Utd have had a difficult start to the season. Two wins at Old Trafford against Wolves 1-0 and Nottingham Forest 3-2 were interspersed with two defeats 0-2 at Tottenham and 1-3 at Arsenal. Man Utd are currently ranked 11th in the 20-team Premier League.
Goalkeeper Andre Onana (in yellow) concedes a goal after Declan Rice's shot increased the score to 2-1, during the Arsenal - Man Utd match on September 3. Photo: Reuters
In addition to the problems on the pitch, the "Red Devils" also have to deal with the personal problems of Mason Greenwood, Jadon Sancho and Antony. After escaping accusations of rape and assault on his girlfriend, in the face of opposition from feminist groups, Greenwood had to move to Getafe on loan. Sancho also has almost no future at Old Trafford, after publicly clashing with coach Erik Ten Hag over his training attitude, while Antony had to stop playing due to accusations of assaulting his ex-girlfriend.
While Man Utd's chances of finishing in the top four have been severely reduced, Tottenham's are predicted to improve. Before the season, the computer said Tottenham had a 9.5% chance. However, after the "Roosters" won 10 points from their first four matches, the prediction increased to 31.86%. Tottenham fans may be happier to know that the computer's prediction for their rivals Arsenal has slightly decreased. Before the season, the computer said Arsenal would finish second. However, after the first four matches, the re-evaluation results showed Liverpool would finish second, while Arsenal would finish third.
Liverpool started the season with three wins and a draw. Photo: PA
The computer also made negative predictions for Newcastle and Chelsea. After three defeats and just one win, the Magpies' chances of finishing in the top four dropped from 24.8% to 16.69%. Similarly, after two defeats, a draw and a win, Chelsea's chances of finishing in the top four dropped from 16% to 1.1%. The computer even predicted a 0.9% chance of Chelsea being relegated.
In contrast, Liverpool's chances of finishing in the top four have increased from 76.8% to 91.1%, while West Ham's have increased from 2% to 14.8%. After the first four rounds, both teams have three wins and one draw. They are in the top four with Man City and Tottenham.
Meanwhile, after three defeats and a draw, the computer predicts that second-to-last placed Everton have a 52.34% chance of being relegated. Only Luton Town and Sheffield United, both promoted this season, are more likely to be relegated. Sheffield United have also lost three and drawn one, like Everton, while Luton Town have lost all three of their opening games and had one postponed.
Thanh Quy (according to Opta )
Source link
Comment (0)