Russia will reimpose some capital controls it introduced at the start of the war, in a bid to prevent the currency from falling further.
The Russian government announced that it will force dozens of exporters to convert foreign currency earnings into rubles. Russia's financial watchdog Rosfinmonitoring will monitor the implementation of the new rules for 43 companies in energy, metals, grain and other sectors.
The ruble rose 3.4% on the news on October 12, to 96 rubles per dollar, its strongest level in more than two weeks. It also strengthened against the euro and the yuan.
"The main purpose of these measures is to create long-term conditions for increasing transparency and predictability in the currency market. At the same time, this will also reduce speculation," Russian Deputy Prime Minister Andrei Belousov said in a statement.
"By the end of the year, we expect the ruble to rise to 88-92 rubles per US dollar," said Yevgeny Kogan, professor at the Higher School of Economics (HSE).
An employee counts 1,000 ruble notes at a bank in Russia. Photo: Reuters
The policies are similar to those Moscow imposed in February 2022, just days after launching its military operation in Ukraine. At that time, a series of Western sanctions sent the ruble plunging to a record low of 135 rubles per US dollar.
Russia at that time required exporters to convert 80% of their foreign currency revenue into rubles, not to keep it in dollars or euros. Citizens were also not allowed to transfer money abroad. Foreign investors were also not allowed to sell Russian securities.
The ruble has lost more than a third of its value against the dollar this year, as the war in Ukraine has hit Russia’s export-oriented economy. Analysts say Moscow’s oil and gas revenues are unlikely to surge.
This is causing Russia’s current account surplus to shrink, down nearly 80% in the first nine months of the year compared to the same period last year. The Bank of Russia said the narrowing gap between exports and imports contributed to the ruble’s depreciation.
Russia's budget deficit has also soared since the start of the conflict. The Russian Finance Ministry said the country had a deficit of 1.7 trillion rubles ($17 billion) in the first nine months of the year. In the same period last year, it had a surplus of 203 billion rubles.
To tackle the ruble's devaluation and high inflation, the Russian Central Bank raised its key interest rate from 8.5% to 12% in August. Last month, it raised it again to 13%.
Ha Thu (according to Reuters)
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