Football prediction Croatia vs Italy: No way back

The Azzurri only need one point to secure a ticket to the round of 16, while Croatia must win and hope Albania does not defeat Spain in the final match.

The disastrous goal conceded in extra time against Albania put the checkered team in a difficult situation, as they only won 1 point, with a goal difference of -3.

2024 06 19T150622Z_405780573_UP1EK6J15YLYE_RTRMADP_3_SOCCER EURO CRO ALB REPORT.JPG — Croatia has not played well since the beginning of the tournament.

There is no longer the image of an experienced, solid Croatia defense like two years ago in Qatar. Josko Gvardiol and Livakovic are still there, but the other partners in the defense play very poorly.

The performance from the beginning of Euro 2024 was too unstable. Therefore, goalkeeper Livakovic had to pick the ball out of the net 5 times after only 180 minutes of play.

Croatia had more shots on target than in their Euro 2020 group stage campaign, but an ageing midfield and lacklustre attack left them ineffective.

Obviously Luka Modric and Mateo Kovacic are no longer the mainstays in the Balkan team's play. Therefore, facing the reigning champion Italy will be a big challenge for Croatia.

As for the Azzurri, their 10-match unbeaten streak at the Euros finally came to an end. Italy lost convincingly to Spain in a match where they were outplayed for most of the match.

Coach Luciano Spalletti is trying to get Italy to play in a similar style to Napoli, who won Serie A last season. That will take time and Spalletti needs to push his players to attack more, as Croatia often show weaknesses.

ichef.bbci.co.uk images ic 1200x675 _p0j40x15.jpg — Croatia need a win to qualify

However, the front line personnel have not met the requirements. Scamacca is too out of place in the striker role. Federico Chiesa has declined significantly compared to 3 years ago.

Statistics show that since gaining independence in the early 90s, Croatia has not lost 8 consecutive matches against Italy. The scenario of a draw is likely to happen.

Force information

Croatia: Nikola Vlasic is injured. Budimir can replace Petkovic in attack.

Italy: Fully staffed with the best.

Expected lineup

Croatia: Livakovic; Stanisic, Sutalo, Gvardiol, Perisic; Modric, Sucic, Kovacic; Pasalic, Budimir, Kramaric.

Italy : Donnarumma; Darmian, Bastoni, Calafiori, Dimarco; Cristante, Barella; Chiesa, Pellegrini, Zaccagni; Retegui.

Match odds: Italy handicap 1/4 (1/4: 0)

Goal ratio: 2 1/2

Prediction: 1-1

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